Model:

Updated:

4 times per day, from 08:00, 14:00, 20:00, and 00:00 UTC

Greenwich Mean Time:

12:00 UTC = 01:00 NZDT

Resolution:

0.025° x 0.025°

Parameter:

Fog Stability Index

Description:

This is a stability index for fog formation. It is from 2WW/TN-79/008, "A New Technique for Forecasting the Occurence of Fog and Low Stratus Ceiling by Use of a Flow Chart".
The equation for the index is:
Fog Stability Index = 2*(t_s - t₈₅₀ + t_s - t_ds ) + W₈₅₀ =
=4t_s - 2(t₈₅₀ + t_ds) + W₈₅₀

Fog risk (FSI)
high	middle	low
FSI < 31	31 < FSI < 55	FSI > 55

Arome:

Arome
The Arome forecasting system is a blend of the best components from the Méso-NH model, the Aladin model, and the IFS/Arpège data assimilation software. Its focus is on the numerical prediction of intense convective systems over mainland France by 2008. Other important weather phenomena will also begin to be reliably forecast, thanks to a high (kilometric) spatial resolution and the use of regional observing systems. The Arome software is designed to be accessible to a wide research community.

NWP:

Numerical weather prediction uses current weather conditions as input into mathematical models of the atmosphere to predict the weather. Although the first efforts to accomplish this were done in the 1920s, it wasn't until the advent of the computer and computer simulation that it was feasible to do in real-time. Manipulating the huge datasets and performing the complex calculations necessary to do this on a resolution fine enough to make the results useful requires the use of some of the most powerful supercomputers in the world. A number of forecast models, both global and regional in scale, are run to help create forecasts for nations worldwide. Use of model ensemble forecasts helps to define the forecast uncertainty and extend weather forecasting farther into the future than would otherwise be possible.

Wikipedia, Numerical weather prediction, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Numerical_weather_prediction(as of Feb. 9, 2010, 20:50 UTC).